Carissa Véliz is a Lavin Exclusive Speaker and Oxford professor who has advised the U.K. and Spanish governments as well as companies worldwide. Her book, Prophecy (out this week), is an incisive look into the landscape of AI-fueled prediction—Roger McNamee (Zucked) calls it “the most important book you will read for years.” Carissa spoke at TED last week, and received a standing ovation for her TED Talk—it was called “the most provocative idea of the conference” in Forbes. Carissa sat down with Lavin to explain 3 ways to defy the odds and leverage human uncertainty in the age of AI. Read them below, and get in touch today to book her to speak at your event!
1. Tether your mind to the present.
“Sometimes we lose our attachment to the present because we’re dreaming about the future,” Carissa says. But in a world flooded with AI-driven predictions, the competitive advantage will belong to those who develop their judgment about the present rather than those who lean on future possibilities. And this can actually give you a sharper view of the future, Carissa says: “It’s much likelier that you’ll be good at making predictions close to the present than if you predict a thousand years into the future.”
2. Prepare, don’t predict.
Instead of trying to predict what’s going to happen to your family, your business, or the economy, Carissa suggests thinking creatively about the future you want. “When you’re thinking about the future—for example, in scenario planning—don’t just try to figure out which is the ‘right future,’ but decide which future you’d prefer and figure out how to get there.” We can think differently about the future, she says: “not in terms of knowledge, but in terms of creativity.”
3. Increase serendipity.
The more you rely on predictions, the more you’re allowing algorithms and other people to determine what you see, who you meet, who you talk with, and what kind of product you come up with, Carissa says. In a business landscape increasingly driven by AI, the ones who stand out from the crowd will be those who lean into uncertainty and serendipity. “Part of what it means to be a leader is to be curious, read widely, talk to strangers, and take strides along the beach,” she says, “because you never know what the tide might bring.”
Want more from Carissa?
Learn more about her here, then contact us to book her to speak at your event!








